What’s Driving All This Change? Climate Change


External link: http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/conferences/2016/Scenario/presentations/MichaelMeyer.pdf

Publication date: August 15, 2016

Capsule summary: An overview of major climate change phenomena and how it relates to transportation scenario planning.

Author(s): Meyer, Michael; WSP/Parsons Brinckerhoff

Publisher(s): TRB

Definition: Examining the use of scenario planning methods and their outcomes
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/research-theme/scenario-planning/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: https://trid.trb.org/results.aspx?tc=NN:Epdmf
TRT Search Results Page: https://trt.trb.org/trt.asp?NN=Epdmf

Definition: Examining the environmental impacts of transportation
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/research-theme/environment/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: https://trid.trb.org/results.aspx?tc=NN:Jfb
TRT Search Results Page: https://trt.trb.org/trt.asp?NN=Jfb

No items found

Definition: Governmental agency focused on transportation
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/org/dot/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: https://pubsindex.trb.org/results.aspx?tc=NN:Nggj
TRT Search Results Page: https://trt.trb.org/trt.asp?NN=Nggj

Definition: Administrative subdivision of a state
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/org/county/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: https://pubsindex.trb.org/results.aspx?tc=NN:Ngdhc
TRT Search Results Page: https://trt.trb.org/trt.asp?NN=Ngdhc

Definition: A large urban area
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/org/city/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: https://pubsindex.trb.org/results.aspx?tc=NN:Ngdhs
TRT Search Results Page: https://trt.trb.org/trt.asp?NN=Ngdhs

Definition: Documentation from a conference, symposium, or similar event
Digest Search Results Page: https://www.planningdigest.com/resource-type/proceedings/
Corresponding TRID/TRT Terms
TRID Search Results Page: n/a
TRT Search Results Page: n/a

Description: This presentation provides an overview of major trends and patterns in climate change, and how they can be accounted for in transportation scenario planning. It delves into past climate patterns, future projections of climate trends, and how these phenomena relate to transportation scenario planning.

Objectives: This presentation draws primarily from the NCHRP’s guide on Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and the Highway System, and the 2014 National Climate Assessment to highlight the changing state of the climate, how these changes have affected transportation and infrastructure systems, and how projected trends could affect such systems in the future.

Findings: Climate change has already led to increased average temperatures, sea level rises, changes in precipitation, and magnitude of floods, amongst numerous other phenomena. Droughts, tropical storms, heat waves, wildfires, and flooding are projected to increase in coming decades across wide geographic areas. Extreme weather conditions that were amplified by climate change have already caused substantial damage to transportation systems, including Hurricane Katrina, Hurricane Irene, Superstorm Sandy, and the Tennessee Superflood in 2010.

Recommendations: The effects of climate change must be incorporated into future transportation scenario planning efforts on multiple levels: as part of the vision of a resilient and sustainable transportation system, as reflected in system performance measures, and as part of the definition of regionally-specific parts of the transportation network. Understanding the effects of climate change can also help define parts of a particular study area where special considerations may be necessary during the development of a project. As such, consequences of climate change should be part of integral project processes, such as data collection and analysis, evaluation and project prioritization, and system performance monitoring.

Research Theme: Environment, Scenario Planning

Community Type: City, Medium City, Small City

Transportation Mode:

Planning Scope:

Organization Type: City, County, DOT

Planning Subject: Forecasting, Long-Range Planning, Planning Methods, Strategic Planning