Foresight: Informing Transportation’s Future (NCHRP Report 750 Series)

 

External link: http://www.trb.org/Resource.ashx?sn=n20-83B_IntroductiontotheReportsWEB2

Publication date: January 1, 2014

Capsule summary: The introduction to a series of reports produced by the NCHRP to help state DOTs understand scenario planning and the types of future scenarios that they may have to prepare for.

Author(s): Burns & McDonnel; High Street Consulting Group

Publisher(s): TRB


Definition: Processes of upgrading, maintaining, and expanding transportation assets throughout their life-cycles
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Definition: Examining the use of scenario planning methods and their outcomes
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Definition: Examining the public health impacts of transportation
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Definition: Studying the movement of goods or commodities
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Definition: Financial strategies and techniques for transportation planning
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Definition: Examining the environmental impacts of transportation
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Definitions: Passenger transportation services
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Definitions: The movement of goods or commodities
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Definitions: Transportation by automobile
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Definition: A public agency that operates and maintains passenger transportation services
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Definition: A federally funded transportation policy-making organization, comprised of local government representatives and transportation authorities
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Definition: Governmental agency focused on transportation
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Definition: Administrative subdivision of a state
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Definition: A large urban area
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Definition: A synthesis is a combination, usually a shortened version, of several texts made into one. It contains the important points in the text.
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Definition: Report published by a governmental body or other organization (e.g. FHWA, NAS, etc.)
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Description: This report is part of a series produced by the National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) to provide transportation professionals with strategies and tools for managing future scenarios, the implications these scenarios have for transportation systems, and how state DOTs can prepare for these possibilities. This particular report is an introduction to the six reports that constitute this series, each of which delves into a particular topic of concern to transportation officials: freight, climate change, technology, sustainability, energy and fuels, and demographics.

Objectives: This report addresses macro-level trends and shifts that may affect the structures of entire transportation networks as well as the roles and functions of state and local DOTs. It gives examples of the types of scenarios that are featured in the subsequent reports in this series, describes major changes that future DOTs will likely have to prepare for, and provides a roadmap to the subsequent reports in the series.

Findings: The major areas of change that are briefly touched upon in this report include: possible shifts from global to domestic production, destructive effects of climate change, the rise of autonomous vehicles, changes in urban and suburban commuting patterns, alternative fuel vehicles, and major demographic shifts.

Recommendations: As this report is essentially an introduction to a larger series of reports, it does not make any specific conclusions or recommendations with respect to transportation scenario planning. However, the series itself encourages the leaders of state DOTs and other transportation agencies to seriously consider future scenarios and how their present actions may influence future events, understand the “signposts” that may foreshadow change, and utilize the tools offered by the other reports in this series.

Research Theme: Environment, Financial Strategies, Freight and Logistics, Public Health, Scenario Planning, Transportation Asset Management

Community Type: City, Medium City, Small City

Transportation Mode: Automobile, Freight, Transit

Planning Scope: Multi-State, Regional or Metro Area, Single State, State Level

Organization Type: City, County, DOT, MPO or RPO, Transit

Planning Subject: Forecasting, Long-Range Planning, Planning Methods, Strategic Planning